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Susan Shirk on the Risks of China's Leadership Transition

Chinese left in the dark over new leaders

10/26/2012
Jamil Anderlini, Financial Times

Less than 10 days after the US elects its president next month the Chinese people will find out who will lead them for the next five years.

But while voters in the US have a pretty good idea what they’re getting no matter who wins, China’s citizens won’t even know for sure how many will make up their top group of leaders until those people walk on to the stage at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on or around November 15.

For the past 10 years, the standing committee of the politburo of the Communist Party of China, which includes the president and premier, has consisted of nine members who ruled the world’s most populous nation through a system of collective decision-making.

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Susan Shirk is the chair of the 21st Century China Program and Ho Miu Lam Professor of China and Pacific Relations at the School of International Relations and Pacific Studies (IR/PS) at UC San Diego. She also is director emeritus of the University of California system-wide Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation (IGCC) and chair of the IGCC International Advisory Board. 

In 1993, she founded, and continues to lead, the Northeast Asia Cooperation Dialogue (NEACD), an unofficial “track-two” forum for discussions of security issues among defense and foreign ministry officials and academics from the United States, Japan, China, Russia, and the Koreas.

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